Algorithm update: increasing our smarts around the impact of seasonal changes

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How seasons affect solar panel output

Photo by Karsten Würth on Unsplash

We’ve made another significant update to our algorithms this week that allow us to predict your expected solar production with more accuracy. We’ve been observing how accurate our expectations of your solar performance have been versus reality across the year in Australia. Sounds a bit technical maybe, but this improvement now makes Solar Analytics’ understanding of seasonal effects on solar more comprehensive than any other source in Australia. Something we’re pretty proud of!

Have you ever noticed that your solar system doesn’t seem to perform as well in Winter as it does at other times of the year? There are all sorts of issues at play here, including the angle of the sun, tilt of your panels, longer shadows from shading, and more. It’s very difficult to predict exactly how much your solar should be producing, particularly in the depths of Winter, and even more so the further south you are from the equator.

Our team of mathematicians, data scientists, and engineers have made a significant breakthrough in understanding these complex weather patterns, and this week we have incorporated these new learnings into our algorithms. We’ve normalised some of the extreme patterns that we see in Winter and Summer. 

What does this mean for you? It means that our prediction of how much solar your system should be producing throughout the year will be more accurate. And if you are used to seeing your system showing under-performance during Winter and over-performance during Summer, you may notice an improvement in your performance levels.

We’ll continue to work hard making further improvements to your data accuracy and the ease-of-use of our solar management dashboard, and in the meantime, you can rest easy knowing that you have access to the very best data available. Keep an eye on your monthly performance report emails for more updates on our software and service, and tips to get more value from your solar.